HOLLYWOOD'S ASIAN STRATEGY
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o one is happier about Hollywood's spotted Asian successes than the
office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) whose burden of
combating perceived "unfair trade practices" has been markedly lightened as
a result. So-called "non-tariff trade barriers" in a number of Asian nations
have tumbled significantly since the Warner-China Film Accord, yet more
evidence of the Chinese ripple effect.
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"Hollywood's strategy is very simple. They want as much money as they
can get, and not give any back"
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Restrictions on the number of importable prints in Taiwan, for
example, have all but diminished while Corean limits on the number of days
that theaters could play foreign product also appear to be disappearing. In
more restrictive societies, especially those like Malaysia and Indonesia, which
have large Muslim populations, censorship is still an obstacle. Recent
problems with films like Babe, an otherwise wholesome film by
American standards but offensive to the Islamic view of pigs as "dirty"
animals, underscore the lingering challenges. Centralized distribution
monopolies like China Film's are also a characteristic of strict regimes like
President Suharto's in Indonesia, where local laws even prohibit the opening
of studio offices.
But these are minor issues when considering the bigger picture. If the
next 15 years in Asia even remotely mirror Europe over the course of the
past 15, Hollywood's ultimate domination seems all but certain. Key to this
success is the development of multiplexes throughout the region, a trend
which nearly doubled Hollywood's European revenues in just over a decade.
"The real quantum leap is definitely the development of multiplexes,"
says Gray. "Revenues have jumped five-fold from when there was just the
old system of duopolies in certain countries with old theaters. Multiplexes
are changing the face of Asia dramatically like they did here and in Europe."
Surprisingly, despite the better efforts of American companies like
Warners, United Artists Theatres and AMC, an Asian-Australian consortium,
Golden Roadshow (a joint effort of Golden Harvest and Village Roadshow) is
leading the multiplex revolution. Following the examples of multiplex
developers in Europe and the U.S., Golden Roadshow and its competitors are
focusing their efforts primarily in major metropolitan suburbs like those
around Singapore and Bangkok where commuting to downtown theaters can
take as long as two hours in heavy traffic. Unlike the multiplex boom in
Europe and the United States, however, Asia has more than enough room to
sustain growth well into the next century.
In Japan, Asia's oldest and most reliable market for American movies,
there is still only one screen for every 85,000 people compared with one
screen per 10,000 in the United States. Other Asian markets are even less
saturated. Should the current rate of economic growth and multiplex
development continue, Asia could conceivably command as much as 60% of
Hollywood's box office revenues by 2015.
But some in Hollywood, like former Carolco Vice President of
Production Financing Marichu Walker, fear that a rush to develop China could
leave less-developed Asian nations behind, like Walker's native Philippines.
"There has always been a market in the Philippines for American movies,"
she says. "But in China there wasn't. Many of those other countries are going
to be left behind because they are politically less stable and the populations
are smaller."
The most enduring hindrance to Hollywood's Asian relations remains
the doggedly persistent problem of piracy. It's a subject that Asian nations
are loathe to discuss, for obvious reasons. According to the Intellectual
Property Rights Alliance (IIPA)--a lobbying organization whose members
include the AFMA and its studio-supported sibling, the Motion Picture
Association of America (MPAA)--Asia remains the world's piracy mecca with
China, Japan, Corea and Thailand among the worst offenders. Underscoring
the severity of the problem, this past April the USTR, added Hong Kong to its
priority list for the first time. Needless to say, the move didn't sit well with
previously cooperative Hong Kong officials who angrily demanded hard
evidence be brought forth to back up the accusations.
Sadly, Hong Kong's protests smack more of desperation than
indignation. Recent revelations about the toll that piracy has taken on Hong
Kong's own industry help highlight the dangers for even presumably strong
film industries. Already stung by economic recession and an exodus of talent
to the U.S., the past two years have heralded a rare downturn in the overall
quality of Hong Kong films. And that, in turn, has made the colony uniquely
vulnerable to piracy for the first time. So severe is the problem that ticket
sales have plummeted 33% in two years. Exports that used to reach as many
as 26 million filmgoers now reach half that many. As a result, more and
more theater space is being consumed by American films, ironically, just as
Hong Kong talent is finally starting to attract global attention.
Miramax turned Chen Kaige's Cannes festival winner Farewell My
Concubine into a stateside art house hit and an Academy darling, earning
a pair of Oscar nominations.
If nothing else, Hong Kong's problems serve as a microcosm of the
problems that await Hollywood and other growing Asian industries if
something is not done soon. The real problem, of course, has less to do with
securing intellectual property rights legislation than with obtaining
enforcement of legislation already in place. Of the major offenders, the USTR
and the IIPA have consistently praised Japan and Corea for their tireless
cooperation. China, conversely, acceded to U.S. demands only when threat of
a serious trade war appeared imminent. And China, say insiders at the USTR
and the IIPA, is where most of Asia's piracy problems originate.
Enforcement in most cases has been rendered ineffectual by what is
known as guangxi, or "high political connections." Far from the
basement and backroom operations that are typically associated with pirates,
many of China's massive videotape and laserdisc factories continue to operate
openly and, in some cases, with government blessings. A case in point,
according to the IIPA, is the notorious Shenzhen Shen Fei Laser Optical
Systems Company, a pirate factory responsible for, among other offenses, a
glut of Jurassic Park laserdiscs throughout Asia prior to the film's
official release. The niece of the factory's owner, says the IIPA, is married to
the son of Premier Li Peng.
Nonetheless, thanks to threatened implementation of the Special 301
provision of the Trade Act of 1974 which authorizes the USTR to impose
trade sanctions as leverage, the Chinese have finally begun taking significant
steps at resolving piracy concerns. One of the first steps, this past April, was
the setting up of an anti-piracy training center in Beijing to educate officials,
consultants, judges and lawyers on the relevant intellectual property issues.
Other moves have included the establishment of wholesale audio-visual
markets in cities like Shanghai to "foster healthy growth of the legitimate
business." If successful, the experimental markets will be expanded
throughout the country. In addition, to help insure that films being shown in
China were acquired from the proper authorities and through the proper
channels, the government has promised increased cooperation with the title
verification efforts of the MPAA's anti-piracy wing, the Motion Picture
Association (MPA). But China's previous failure to live up to terms of its
1995 accord evoke skepticism over its future trustworthiness.
"I think the concept is different for them," says Phoenix Pictures chief
and former TriStar Pictures president Mike Medavoy, who was born in
Shanghai. "Eventually I think I'll be optimistic, but at this point I don't see
any reason for optimism yet."
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