Price Hikes from Tariffs Won't Be Felt Until August or Later
By Reuters | 29 Jul, 2025

Consumer brands won't be able to continue keeping prices down by selling hoarded pre-tariff inventories and/or absorbing tariff costs.

U.S. President Donald Trump is getting his tariffs. Companies are making it clear how they intend to deal with it - passing them on to American consumers.

Throughout the spring, big retailers and consumer product makers warned that levies on imported goods would squeeze their operations, forcing them to choose between lower earnings and passing on higher costs to customers.

In the case of Procter & Gamble and others, it is both of those things.

On Tuesday, the packaging giant, which makes household basics spanning from Bounty paper towel to Tide detergent, issued a sour outlook for 2025 and sent a message to big retailers like Walmart that it would have to raise prices on some U.S. goods from next week. 

This challenge facing companies in coming quarters will likely feed through to everyday consumers. P&G said it would raise prices on about a quarter of its products in the U.S. to help offset the cost of new tariffs.

Price hikes are in the mid-single digits across categories, a spokesperson for the company said.    

While U.S. stock indexes have soared to record highs this year, built on massive investment in technology shares, many consumer bellwethers have struggled. 

Since Trump's April 2 "Liberation Day" tariff announcements, P&G shares have declined 19%; Nestle is down 20%; Kimberly-Clark has lost 11%, and PepsiCo is off nearly 7%, while the benchmark S&P 500 stock index has gained more than 13%.

Consumer goods, food and drink companies have struggled with lackluster sales since the pandemic, as shoppers have balked at increasingly expensive name-brand packaged food. Nestle said last week that consumers in North America remained wary of paying more at the cash register.

More price hikes will deepen investor worries about how big brands are navigating the combined challenge of thrifty consumers and hefty costs created by Trump's trade war.

"You're going to see companies like Walmart, Amazon, and Best Buy forced to pass price increases to consumers," said Bill George, former chairman and CEO of Medtronic and executive education fellow at Harvard Business School.

"Main Street has yet to see the fallout from increased tariffs - and they're going to go higher."

Between July 16 and 25, companies in the Reuters global tariff tracker said they expected to lose a combined $7.1 billion to $8.3 billion for the full year. 

GM, Ford and other carmakers have absorbed the cost of tariffs - totaling billions of dollars - so far. 

Many companies shipped more goods and raw materials into the U.S. before tariffs hit. Economists and analysts reckon that hoarding has helped some delay hiking prices until later in the year and explains why tariffs have not yet shown up in U.S. inflation data.

Andrew Wilson, International Chamber of Commerce deputy secretary general, estimates inflation will be felt once companies have run down inventory, but that might not be until the fourth quarter or first quarter of next year.

Others like Ray Ban-maker EssilorLuxottica have already hiked prices.

Swiss watch and jewelry maker Swatch increased prices by about 5% after Trump announced tariffs in April with "zero impact" on sales, CEO Nick Hayek told Reuters recently.

High-end brands like Tissot watches are less price sensitive to increases. Customers wanting to splash out on an expensive watch might also buy abroad when travelling where taxes are lower, he said.

"You cannot do this with cars. You cannot do this with machines. But you can do this with watches. So it's not so problematic for us," he said.

(Reporting by David Gaffen in New York and Marleen Kaesebier in Gdansk;Writing by Josephine Mason; Editing by David Gregorio)